My Election Predictions vs. Results

I didn't fare so bad in who won each race (9 out of 10), but I'm no Nate Silver:

My Predictions for some select races:
President:
President Obama wins with 290 Electoral Votes and also wins the Popular Vote
Obama wins Pennsylvania by 3-4%
ACTUAL RESULT: 5.2%

Pennsylvania U.S. Senate
Senator Bob Casey wins by 6-7%
ACTUAL RESULT: 9.1%

Attorney General
Kathleen Kane wins by 8-9%
ACTUAL RESULT: 14.5%

Treasurer
Rob McCord wins by 9-10%
ACTUAL RESULT: 8.6%

Auditor General
Eugene DePasquale wins by 1-2%
ACTUAL RESULT: 3.2%

Congressional District 12
Keith Rothfus wins by 2-3% over Congressman Mark Critz (I really, really hope that I'm wrong about this one)
ACTUAL RESULT: 3%
*The more I study the results of this race in Beaver County and Allegheny County, the more I am sure that Congressman Jason Altmire would have won vs. Rothfus.

Northern Pittsburgh state legislative races:

State Senate District 37
Raja wins by 5-6% over Matt Smith
PICKED WRONG - ACTUAL RESULT: 5.4%

State House District 30
Hal English wins by 6-7% over David Tusick
ACTUAL RESULT: 13.4%

State House District 16
Rob Matzie wins by 5-6% over Kathy Coder
ACTUAL RESULT: 12.8%
*Kathy Coder is President of Bellevue Council and she lost every voting district in Bellevue.

State House District 20
Adam Ravenstahl wins by 55% over James Barr
ACTUAL RESULT: 63.6%

Campaign Robocalls

Enjoy the Republican rhetoric!

Catholic Association Mail

Do you think Mother Teresa would approve of this message?

 

 

Faith and Freedom Coalition Mailing

More mail from the Faith and Freedom Coalition in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District. Keeps on pushing the lie that Congressman Mark Critz voted for Obamacare.

 

 

Faith and Freedom Mail!

Faith and Freedom Coalition mail in support of Romney, Casey, and Rothfus.

 

 

Romney Mail!

Romney Mail! More of the same talking points from the Romney/Ryan campaign.

 

The unmentioned genius campaign strategy by the Pennsylvania Republicans

As many argue across the state of Pennsylvania and nationally about the ridiculous Voter ID Law that was passed in Pennsylvania, the one thing that I haven’t heard mentioned is what it really means to the Democratic Party and their candidates. It’s all about the money. Forget the arguments about voter suppression, this is all about forcing Democratic candidates and the Democratic Party to spend money and time on making sure people have ID. As the Democratic Party spends thousands on making sure voters have Photo ID, they won’t be able to spend that money on their message about the middle class.

With the continued influence of money in politics, this is why Rep. Mike Turzai thought the Voter ID Law would help Romney win Pennsylvania: